Bears vs. Lions odds, prediction, betting trends for NFL Thanksgiving game

first_imgStat that mattersThe Lions have given up on average 58 yards receiving to running backs this season and on average 13 catches for 177 yards against wide receivers. They struggled plenty against Allen Robinson, Tarik Cohen and Taylor Gabriel in the first meeting. In this meeting, they will worry about Robinson, Cohen and Anthony Miller plenty with Gabriel concussed and no viable healthy tight end options.Bears vs. Lions predictionTrubisky tends to pick apart bad defenses and although there might be another slow start, he’ll get into a groove with Robinson, Cohen and Miller on short-to-intermediate routes as the Lions sell out to stop the run initially. Blough will play better than expected at home and target Golladay and Jones often. But in the end, he will face plenty more heat from Khalil Mack and the Bears’ defense to thwart the mild upset bid.Bears 24, Lions 17 How might the rematch in Week 13 play out in Ford Field?Here’s everything to know about betting on Bears vs. Lions in Week 13, including updated odds, trends and our expert’s prediction for the 2019 NFL Thanksgiving game.MORE: Get the latest NFL odds & betting advice at Sportsbook ReviewBears vs. Lions odds for Thanksgiving 2019Spread: Bears by 5.5Point total: 37Odds: Bears -118, Lions +108The Bears started as slight road favorites after edging the Giants last week, while the Lions are coming off a mild upset loss at the Redskins. The line jumped from Bears -2.5 when it was revealed Blough was starting instead of Driskel. The point total is tied to two struggling offenses that scored in the teens with different results in Week 12.Bears vs. Lions all-time seriesThe Bears will go for the season sweep to increase their 100-75-4 advantage over the Lions. They are trying to make it four straight victories after dropping 9 of the previous 10 meetings. This is a rematch of last year’s Thanksgiving game in Detroit, won by the Bears 23-16.Three trends to know— 66 percent of spread bettors like the Bears. 64 percent of moneyline bettors also like the Bears.— 69 percent of bettors like the game to go over its low point total, probably thinking the Bears, as limited as they have been, will be able to move the ball on the Lions’ defense.— The Bears are only 3-8 against the spread this season and 3 of their 11 games also have gone under.Three things to watchBlough gets the startBlough is a different type of QB from Driskel. He’s more of a traditional pocket passer with a bigger arm and he was acquired from the Browns because of his accuracy. He won’t give the Lions much as a runner, but he will take more chances throwing downfield, which could either lead to big plays for receivers or big interceptions for the Bears.Trubisky and his confidenceTrubisky did throw two more interceptions against the Giants, but he made the big pass plays downfield when it counted to give the Bears a win. He seemed a lot more comfortable both hanging in there in the pocket and throwing and also more decisive with his running. If he plays like that again against another bad defense, Chicago should be golden.Golladay on the holidayThe Bears have a very good secondary, but both Golladay (3 catches, 57 yards, TD) and Marvin Jones (5 catches, 77 yards) did good damage with Driskel in Chicago. The Lions will go back to struggling running the ball, so they need their talented outside wideouts to come through, led by the 6-4, 214-pound Golladay, a Chicago native. When the Bears (5-6) travel to face the Lions (3-7-1) to open the NFL Thanksgiving game schedule on Thursday (12:30 p.m. ET, Fox), the NFC North rivals will be playing mostly for pride with no playoff berth in sight for either team in 2019.Chicago will keep starting Mitchell Trubisky at quarterback, while Detroit, with Matthew Stafford still injured, will have undrafted rookie David Blough start in the second game of the season series, repalcing backup Jeff Driskel, who started in the first but is out with a hamstring injury. When the teams met in Solider Field in Week 10, the Bears overcame a slow start to win 20-13.last_img read more

Stable Notes By Ed Golden – Saturday, May 30, 2020

first_imgTRAINER HOPES HE HAS THE ‘WRIGHT STUFF’ BUSY DAY LOOMS FOR MICHAEL McCARTHY ANNEAU D’OR IN RUNHAPPY SANTA ANITA DERBYBlaine Wright knows his way around the race track,You might say he was born in the game.His father, Richard, was a jockey and a trainer. His mother, Susan, was an assistant trainer, an owner and a breeder, so when Blaine sends out an outsider against two deservingly obvious favorites in a Grade I race, it should be given more than a longshot’s chance.That’s the scenario the 46-year-old trainer will find himself in next Saturday, June 6, when he runs Anneau d’Or against undefeated Authentic and Honor A.P. in the Runhappy Santa Anita Derby.As a two-year-old, a future of gold and glory seemed on the horizon after Anneau d’Or lost the Grade I Breeders’ Cup Juvenile by a head at 28-1 to Storm the Court, who would go on to win an Eclipse Award as outstanding two-year-old male of 2019.That effort was followed by a neck defeat as the 6-5 favorite behind well-regarded Thousand Words in the Grade II Los Alamitos Futurity.But that was then and this is now. In his two races at three, Anneau d’Or (ring of gold) was an eventful ninth in the Grade II Risen Star at the Fair Grounds on Feb. 15 and fifth of six by 9 ½ lengths in the first division of the Grade I Arkansas Derby on May 2.Next up: the Santa Anita Derby.“Our plans are to leave Monday morning (from Golden Gate),” said Wright by phone from the Bay Area, adding that Victor Espinoza has been engaged to ride the $480,000 son of Medaglia d’Oro owned by 85-year-old Peter Redekop, an inspirational story in his own right.Born in a Mennonite colony in the former Soviet Union–in the area now known as the Ukraine–Redekop’s family was oppressed by Communists for their religious beliefs and displaced in Germany for two years after World War II ended.“We basically didn’t have any food to eat,” Redekop has said. “I was 10 years old and remember it very vividly. I will never forget it.”Following several years in The Netherlands, Redekop immigrated to Canada in 1948, landing in Winnipeg. He made his fortune in real estate, jumped into racing with both feet in 1968 and has been a prominent fixture for more than half a century.Redekop is the perennial leader among owners and breeders in Vancouver, British Columbia, where he is a member of the Hall of Fame.Wright, who began training full time in 2006, is best known for developing millionaire Alert Bay into a four-time graded stakes winner including Santa Anita’s Grade II City of Hope Mile in 2015.But back to Anneau d’Or.“We had to use him a little more than we wanted the first part in the Arkansas Derby,” continued Wright, a native of Ogden, Utah, who has been a mainstay in Northern California and the Great Northwest, where he was leading trainer at Emerald Downs in 2016-17.“He broke bad, but that’s no excuse. The winner (Charlatan) ran off the charts (leading throughout to post a six-length triumph). Nobody was outrunning him that day. Maybe we would have placed a bit better, but on the other hand, it had been nine weeks since he ran in the Risen Star and it was another nine weeks from the Los Al Futurity to the Risen Star.“We had been at Santa Anita and breezed over the track for the Santa Anita Derby when it was originally to be run on April 4, but was ultimately postponed, so we came home to Golden Gate.“Now we’re looking forward to running him back in 30 days, but make no mistake; all of what transpired is no excuse as to why he got beat. He’s got to step up his game, obviously.“He really likes the track at Santa Anita. He breezed super over it (six furlongs in 1:13 flat March 28) when we had him there earlier and we were really looking forward to the Derby before racing was shut down.”Now the countdown is on in earnest.HONOR A.P. WORKS FOR SANTA ANITA DERBYHonor A.P. had his final major breeze this morning for next Saturday’s Runhappy Santa Anita Derby, going five furlongs in 1:00.20.Mike Smith, who has ridden the ridgling in all three of his races, was aboard for the drill.“He looked really good,” said John Shirreffs, who trains the son of Honor Code for the C R K Stable, LLC of Lee and Susan Searing. “Mike was happy with him.”Also working this morning for a possible start in the Santa Anita Derby was Rushie, who went five furlongs for Michael McCarthy in a snappy 59.80 under leading rider Flavien Prat.Midcourt, also owned by C R K Stable and trained by Shirreffs, is set to work tomorrow for the Grade I Hollywood Gold Cup for three-year-olds and up at a mile and one quarter on June 6.Midcourt was third beaten less than a length as the 7-10 favorite in the Grade I Santa Anita Handicap on March 7.In the Gold Cup, he will once again be ridden by Victor Espinoza, who has been aboard the five-year-old gelded son of Midnight Lute in his last six races, winning four, including the restricted Comma to the Top, the Grade III Native Diver and the Grade II San Pasqual.  Espinoza will be seeking his third Gold Cup win, as won it 2018 with Accelerate and in 2015 with Hard Aces.Hard Not to Love draws the rail for the second straight race in Sunday’s Grade II Santa Maria Stakes, which could be problematic, as she lost her left eye as a youngster when kicked by another horse.  While she has made great strides adapting, she can still become antsy when there’s no horse to her inside at the starting gate.Favored at 3-5 in the Grade I Beholder Mile March 14, Hard Not to Love broke from the number one post position and ran second to Ce Ce, who has post two in the Santa Maria, just outside Hard Not to Love.Asked how he felt about drawing the inside again with Hard Not Love, a nonplussed Shirreffs left ’em laughing with this: “That required another cocktail.”FINISH LINES: Trainer Michael McCarthy will saddle 3-5 morning line favorite Ce Ce in Sunday’s Grade II Santa Maria Stakes and he’ll be plenty busty next Saturday as Santa Anita presents a plethora of prestigious playing possibilities, highlighted by seven stakes races. Already established as a national presence, McCarthy, a 49-year-old native of Youngstown, Ohio, could have Rushie in the Runhappy Santa Anita Derby; Brown Storm in the Hollywood Gold Cup; Speech in the Grade II Santa Anita Oaks; and Cono in the Crystal Water Stakes. Speech worked five furlongs this morning in 1:01.80. Also to be decided June 6 will be the Cinema Stakes, the Fran’s Valentine Stakes and the Desert Code Stakes . . . It was 2019 Juvenile Champion Storm the Court who worked five furlongs in 59.80 today for Peter Eurton, not Santa Anita Derby candidate Shooters Shoot. He will breeze on Monday…Happy 59th to trainer Richard Baltas.LATEST CONTENT FROM XBTV:WORKOUTS:Honor A.P.  (Shirreffs) 5-30-20Rushie (McCarthy) 5-30-20Rookie Mistake ( O’Neill) 5-30-20No Slo Mo (Glatt) 5-29-20Shadow Sphinx (Baltas) 5-29-20Lane Way (Mandella) 5-28-20Toinette (Drysdale) 5-28-20Justinian (Baffert) 5-28-20Honor A.P. (Shirreffs) 5-27-20Authentic (Baffert) 5-27-20Charlatan (Outside) and Crystal Ball (Baffert) 5-27-20Bellafina (Callaghan) 5-27-20center_img HONOR A.P., MIDCOURT SET FOR SHIRREFFSlast_img read more